PARALLAXEDGE

Match Simulator

Every fixture simulated tens of thousands of times: win probabilities, scoreline distributions, and volatility.

Mexico vs South Africa

Full match intelligence
Win Probability
Our model · Pre-match
Mexico
76.9%
Draw
16.3%
South Africa
6.9%
Key Insight

Mexico are favoured at 77%, projected to outscore South Africa 2.3–0.6 on expected goals.

Most Likely Scorelines
2 - 015%
1 - 012.6%
3 - 011.7%
2 - 18.4%
1 - 17.6%
Scoreline Distribution
South Africa Goals
012345+
Mexico Goals
Match Confidence
Match confidence 92/100 (High)
92
/100
High
Based on a 13-point 90% credible interval.